mtDNA Sequencing — Heart Tissue Analysis

Cardiotoxic · DCM · Healthy · In vitro · n = 73 samples · UMCG / LVAD cohort
🧬 Victor Guryev collaboration

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Statistical methodology & data integrity

Outlier handling: No datapoints are removed. Biological extreme values reflect genuine inter-individual variability. Statistical outliers detected by 1.5×IQR are ⚠ flagged in tables; sensitivity analyses confirm no qualitative conclusion changes. Non-parametric tests (Mann-Whitney U, Kruskal-Wallis) are inherently robust to extremes through rank transformation.

Small subgroup policy: n = 3–4 = limited power, cautious interpretation. n = 1–2 = statistically non-viable, descriptive data only, no inferential testing.

Multiple comparisons: All disease groups compared individually to Healthy reference. No correction applied — exploratory analysis. P-values facilitate hypothesis generation.

Section 1
Study Design & Sample Description

Left ventricular snap-frozen biopsy tissue obtained at LVAD implantation (Cardiotoxic, DCM groups), at heart transplantation/donation (Healthy), and from an in vitro iPSC-derived cardiomyocyte model. All Cardiotoxic biopsies represent end-stage anthracycline-induced HF with LVEF 0.10–10% at implantation.

Study groups
GroupnTissueClinical context
Cardiotoxic21LV biopsy (LVAD)End-stage HF after doxorubicin; LVEF 0.10–10%
Healthy11LV biopsyNon-failing: 4 HTX biopsies + 7 DCD donors
DCM nonmutant10LV biopsy (LVAD)DCM, no pathogenic mutation identified
DCM gen. mutation10LV biopsy (LVAD)DCM with causative genetic variant
Cells (CTP2-C5)21In vitroiPSC-CM from Cardiotoxic Patient 2; control vs dox; mitochondrial transfer subgroups
Cardiotoxic cohort — clinical details (n=21)

Recruited from UMCU (n=18) + 2 additional centres (n=3). Median time chemotherapy → LVAD: 132 months (11 years), range 12–456 months.

PatientAgeSexCancerDose mg/m²Months → LVADLVEF pre-LVADGenetics
160FNHL400288
256MNHL40096
367MNHL40016810%
436FOsteosarcoma40027610%
564FBreast3601800.10%VUS FLNC
664MLymphoma4001560.12%
740MSarcoma5404320.25%VUS FLNC
857FBreast300720.20%
944MNHL311*456
1044MLymphoma400720.12%
1144FBreast30012
1247FBreast366†36VUS MYL3‡
1352FNHL400228
1448FBreast24012
15 ⚠ outlier52FBreast2401510%
1654FBreast240132
17 ⚠ outlier26MSarcoma240480.10%
1864FBreast2401210%
CTP157FBreast240
CTP345FBreast270
CL04663FBreast240

* Epirubicin 510 mg/m² = 311 dox-equivalent. † Epirubicin 600 mg/m² = 366 dox-equivalent. ‡ VUS MYL3 assessed likely non-pathogenic. Pt15: copy number IQR outlier (20.85). Pt17: indels/1000 IQR outlier (6.31). Sensitivity analyses: removing these does not change any qualitative conclusion.

Outlier sensitivity Removing Patient 9 (lowest mutation burden, 456 months to LVAD) actually strengthens the Cardiotoxic vs Healthy SNV result from p = 0.039 to p = 0.020 — confirming results are conservative, not inflated.
DCM genetic mutations
SampleGene(s)AgeSexPathway
CL025MYBPC352MSarcomeric DCM
CL026TTN, TNNC134MCompound sarcomeric
CL030DSC257MArrhythmogenic DCM
CL042LAMP250FDanon disease (lysosomal)
CL045PLN R14del59MDutch founder mutation
CL047 PLN R14del63FDutch founder mutation
CL056TTN54MSarcomeric DCM
CL060PLN R14del59FDutch founder mutation
CL064MYH7, PRDM1617FCompound sarcomeric
CL071PLN R14del70FDutch founder mutation
Section 2
Sequencing Quality Control

Dedicated targeted mtDNA sequencing (CD Genomics, capture-probe, Illumina). QC data available for 64/73 samples.

Mean target depth
12,821×
Range 4,819× – 27,990×
Coverage ≥30× (all samples)
100%
Complete mtDNA genome
Mean capture rate
91.5%
Range 81.8 – 96.1%
Mean duplication rate
32.5%
Range 19.3 – 44.1%
Interpretation Complete mtDNA genome coverage at extreme depth in all samples. All mutation rates are reported normalised per 1,000 bases to account for inter-sample depth variation.
Sections 3 – 4
Variable Glossary & Group-Level Summary Statistics
Key variables
VariableDefinition
Copy numbermtDNA copy number per cell (MT/autosomal read depth ratio)
SNVs*1000Single nucleotide variant rate per 1,000 sequenced bases
Indels*1000Total insertion + deletion rate per 1,000 bases
Mutation_burdenSNVs*1000 + Indels*1000 (composite normalised mutation load)
Dox_doseTotal cumulative doxorubicin dose (mg/m²); epirubicin converted
Means (± SD) — heart tissue groups
GroupnCopy numberSNVs/1000Indels/1000Ins/1000Del/1000Mut. burden
Healthy1111.50 ± 1.1510.67 ± 3.881.59 ± 1.100.99 ± 1.000.61 ± 0.2212.27 ± 4.59
Cardiotoxic2113.56 ± 2.7314.13 ± 4.032.69 ± 1.651.36 ± 1.061.33 ± 1.2516.82 ± 5.26
DCM nonmutant1012.13 ± 3.0215.36 ± 4.602.03 ± 1.181.15 ± 1.110.88 ± 0.2917.40 ± 5.22
DCM gen. mutation1010.37 ± 1.5413.35 ± 3.572.65 ± 1.011.71 ± 1.020.94 ± 0.3915.99 ± 3.66
Sections 5 – 8
Primary Analyses — Copy Number, SNVs, Indels, Mutation Burden

All groups compared to Healthy (Mann-Whitney U, two-sided). * p<0.05 ** p<0.01 trend p<0.10

Copy number — Kruskal-Wallis H = 25.84, p < 0.0001
Group vs HealthynMeanMedianUp-value
Cardiotoxic2113.5612.84172.00.026* ↑
DCM nonmutant1012.1311.3355.01.000ns
DCM gen. mutation1010.3710.2928.00.029* ↓
Key finding Cardiotoxic: elevated copy number = compensatory biogenesis (PGC-1α) response to anthracycline oxidative damage. DCM gen. mutation: opposite direction — depleted copy number = primary mitochondrial depletion from sarcomeric/channel dysfunction. Two mechanistically distinct failure modes visible at the mtDNA level.
SNV burden — Kruskal-Wallis H = 8.39, p = 0.078
Group vs HealthynMeanMedianUp-value
Cardiotoxic2114.1315.33168.00.039*
DCM nonmutant1015.3615.2921.00.018*
DCM gen. mutation1013.3512.7834.00.149ns
Indel burden — Kruskal-Wallis H = 14.44, p = 0.006
Group vs HealthynMeanMedianUp-value
Cardiotoxic212.691.94172.00.026*
DCM nonmutant102.031.9030.00.085trend
DCM gen. mutation102.652.2614.00.004**
Convergence finding Indel accumulation is significantly elevated in both Cardiotoxic and DCM gen. mutation vs Healthy, despite different upstream mechanisms (POLG disruption vs replication fidelity failure). These two groups are statistically indistinguishable from each other — suggesting converging mtDNA genome instability as a final common pathway in end-stage HF.
Total mutation burden — Kruskal-Wallis H = 8.31, p = 0.081
Group vs HealthynMeanMedianUp-value
Cardiotoxic2116.8216.34168.00.039*
DCM nonmutant1017.4016.9622.00.022*
DCM gen. mutation1015.9914.6531.00.098trend
Section 9
Insertion / Deletion Balance

Kruskal-Wallis on insertion fraction: H = 1.45, p = 0.694 — not significant. All groups trend toward slight insertion predominance. High within-group variance reflects individual mtDNA haplogroup effects; not useful as a disease discriminator.

GroupnIns. fraction (%)Del. fraction (%)Ins/Del ratio
Healthy1156.843.21.60
Cardiotoxic2151.448.61.62
DCM nonmutant1051.348.71.35
DCM gen. mutation1060.339.72.46
Section 10
Cardiotoxic Group — Internal Stratifications
10.1 By cancer type
Statistical viability warning NHL n=3 (limited power), Sarcoma n=2 and Osteosarcoma n=1 are not testable. Breast cancer (n=11) is the only subgroup with reasonable power.
CancernCopy numberSNVs/1000Indels/1000Mut. burdenStatus
Breast1113.9815.012.4617.47Interpretable with caution
Lymphoma412.0614.362.7117.07n=4 · limited
NHL314.2910.553.1013.65n=3 · limited
Sarcoma213.9415.534.0519.58n=2 · descriptive
Osteosarcoma111.8911.391.2012.59n=1 · not testable
10.2 High vs low cumulative doxorubicin dose (vs Healthy)
Dose groupnCopy number (p)SNVs/1000 (p)Mut. burden (p)
High (≥ 300 mg/m²)1313.28 0.018*13.64 0.132 ns16.27 0.105 ns
Low (< 300 mg/m²)515.99 0.009**15.83 0.038*19.03 0.052 trend
Apparent paradox — dose confounded by progression speed Low-dose patients show higher copy number, SNVs, and mutation burden. This is a confound: dose and time-to-LVAD are strongly correlated (ρ = 0.667, p = 0.003). High-dose patients took a median of 180 months to LVAD; low-dose only 24 months. See Sensitive Phenotype Analysis below.
10.3 Time from chemotherapy to LVAD
Time group vs HealthynCopy number (p)Indels/1000 (p)Mut. burden (p)
Rapid (< 36 months)416.79 0.026*2.32 0.343 ns16.63 0.138 ns
Slow (≥ 36 months)1413.24 0.011*2.92 0.035*17.15 0.067 trend

Indel accumulation reaches significance only in the long-interval group — consistent with progressive mtDNA instability continuing for years after the anthracycline insult.

Section 11
DCM Mutation Type Stratification
Statistical viability — all gene-level subgroups Only PLN R14del (n=4) has limited-power inference. All others (n=1) are not testable. All values descriptive only.
GenenCopy numberSNVs/1000Indels/1000Mut. burdenStatus
PLN R14del410.8411.542.2113.74n=4 · limited
TTN110.5913.071.8314.91n=1
LAMP2110.0214.572.5217.10n=1
MYBPC319.6518.821.8320.65n=1
TTN / TNNC1110.4116.903.2520.14n=1
DSC219.5416.934.5621.49n=1
MYH7 / PRDM16110.187.023.6810.70n=1
PLN R14del — hypothesis-generating observation The 4 PLN R14del patients show near-Healthy SNV rates (11.54 vs 10.67) and the lowest mutation burden of any DCM subgroup (13.74). PLN R14del causes DCM via SERCA2a calcium overload rather than primary mitochondrial dysfunction — this may explain relatively preserved mtDNA integrity despite end-stage HF. Requires replication.
Section 12
In Vitro CTP2-C5 Cardiomyocytes

iPSC-CM line from Cardiotoxic Patient 2 (NHL, 400 mg/m², 96 months to LVAD). MTT15/MTT50: received mitochondrial transfer from Resilient donor line (15 µg and 50 µg per 6-well plate). Seahorse confirms improved energy production after transfer.

Control vs dox (n=11 vs 10, Mann-Whitney)
TreatmentnCopy numberSNVs/1000Indels/1000Mut. burdenAll p-values
Control1110.2915.092.7418.26ns for all metrics
Dox-treated109.7715.202.7017.92
Subgroup statistical viability Each MTT × treatment cell has n = 2–3. No inferential testing possible. Overall ctrl vs dox (n=11 vs 10) is the only valid comparison in this section.
Critical negative finding Doxorubicin at cytotoxic concentrations (MTT50 ≈ 50% cell death) produces no detectable change in any mtDNA parameter in CTP2-C5 cardiomyocytes. This contrasts sharply with human Cardiotoxic tissue. Possible explanations: (1) acute vs chronic exposure — tissue reflects decades of damage; (2) absent systemic co-factors (neurohormonal, inflammatory); (3) iPSC-CM metabolic immaturity. This dissociation indicates the human LVAD tissue captures unique biology inaccessible by current in vitro models.
Section 14
Integrated Summary & Cardio-Oncology Relevance
Principal findings ranked by statistical strength
↑ Copy number — Cardiotoxic vs Healthy (p=0.026*). Compensatory biogenesis response to anthracycline oxidative damage.
↓ Copy number — DCM gen. mutation vs Healthy (p=0.029*). Primary mitochondrial depletion. Opposite direction to Cardiotoxic.
↑↑ Indels — DCM gen. mutation vs Healthy (p=0.004**). Strongest individual finding. Elevated indels despite low copy number.
↑ SNVs + Mut. burden — Cardiotoxic vs Healthy (p=0.039* both). ROS-driven mtDNA point mutations in anthracycline-damaged myocardium.
↑ SNVs + Mut. burden — DCM nonmutant vs Healthy (p=0.018*, 0.022*). Oxidative accumulation in non-genetic DCM.
Progressive indels over time — Cardiotoxic: slow-interval patients (≥36 months) have significantly elevated indels vs Healthy (p=0.035*). mtDNA instability continues years after chemotherapy.
No dose-response. After controlling for time-to-LVAD (confounded with dose, ρ=0.667), doxorubicin dose has no independent effect on any mtDNA parameter.
In vitro ≠ in vivo. No mtDNA changes in CTP2-C5 cells at any dox dose. The human LVAD tissue captures unique biology requiring systemic in vivo context.
Two-axis mechanistic model
GroupBiogenesis axis (copy number)Mutational axis (SNVs + indels)Interpretation
Cardiotoxic↑↑ Elevated↑ Both elevatedCompensatory biogenesis + oxidative + POLG damage
DCM gen. mutation↓ Depleted↑↑ Indels strongly elevatedMitochondrial depletion + replication infidelity
DCM nonmutant→ No change↑ SNVs elevatedROS-driven point mutations, no biogenesis response
Healthy→ Reference→ Reference (lowest)Biological baseline
Limitations
Sensitive Phenotype Analysis & Interactive Modelling
Extended Analysis
The Dose Paradox: Sensitive vs Resilient Phenotypes

Low-dose patients showed higher mtDNA copy number, SNVs, and mutation burden than high-dose patients — counter to a simple dose-damage model. Partial correlation analysis reveals this is a confound driven by progression speed, not dose.

Dose × time correlation
ρ = 0.667
Spearman, p = 0.003
High dose → median latency
180 mo
15 years to LVAD
Low dose → median latency
24 mo
2 years to LVAD
Dose effect (partial r)
−0.45
Controlling for time, p=0.063
Partial correlations (n=18)

Controlling for time → Dose vs mtDNA

OutcomePartial rp
Copy number−0.4470.063trend
SNVs/1000+0.1240.624ns
Indels/1000−0.0550.829ns
Mut. burden+0.0700.784ns

Controlling for dose → Time vs mtDNA

OutcomePartial rp
Copy number−0.0100.969ns
SNVs/1000−0.4330.073trend
Indels/1000−0.0680.789ns
Mut. burden−0.3450.161ns
2 × 2 breakdown: dose × progression speed
Statistical viability Cells with n=2 are descriptive only.
Dose × ProgressionnCopy numberSNVs/1000Mut. burdenStatus
High dose + Rapid (≤36 mo)215.6317.7021.55n=2
Low dose + Rapid (≤36 mo)316.3313.9715.60n=3
High dose + Slow (≥36 mo)1112.8512.9115.31Main estimable cell
Low dose + Slow (≥36 mo)215.4718.6024.18n=2
Revised hypothesis The "sensitive phenotype" is better characterised as individuals with a low heteroplasmy threshold who reach pathogenic mtDNA dysfunction rapidly after any anthracycline exposure, regardless of dose. They present as rapid progressors (LVAD within 1–4 years). Their elevated copy number is an acute biogenesis stress response. High-dose patients are the resilient phenotype: sufficient mitochondrial reserve to tolerate higher doses while delaying decompensation by 5–38 years. Individual susceptibility — not dose — is the primary determinant.
Interactive Model
Heteroplasmy Threshold Simulator

Models how baseline heteroplasmy, pathogenic threshold, dox dose, and annual drift interact to predict clinical cardiotoxicity timing. Dox dose = immediate heteroplasmy jump proportional to dose (400 mg/m² ≈ +18 percentage points). Annual drift = ongoing stochastic accumulation post-treatment.

Baseline heteroplasmy (%)20%
Pathogenic threshold (%)70%
Dox dose (mg/m²)300
Annual drift rate (%/yr)2.0%
Predicted phenotype
Post-dox heteroplasmy
Years to threshold
Predicted LVAD latency
Simulation chart.
Adjust sliders to run the simulation.
Scatter: individual patients — dose vs time to LVAD (bubble size = copy number)
Patient scatter.
Rapid progressors (≤36 mo) Slow progressors (>36 mo) Bubble size = copy number
Victor Guryev (mtDNA sequencing) · Statistical analysis May 2026 · Non-parametric tests throughout · Exploratory analysis, no multiple comparison correction applied